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Prediction and discovery in the search for chemical elements

Seifert, Vanessa A. (2025) Prediction and discovery in the search for chemical elements. [Preprint]

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Abstract

It has become increasingly difficult to discover new chemical elements. Whether this is because science approaches the endpoint of this endeavour or because of experimental limitations, this difficulty affects how we conceive two central concepts: element discovery and the periodic table’s predictive power. First, I argue that the concept of element discovery has undergone a shift and that latest attempts to offer specific criteria for an element’s discovery have rendered the concept flexible and fluid. Secondly, I argue that the way in which scientists try to discover elements beyond atomic number 118 shows that the periodic table no longer possesses the predictive power that is standardly associated with it. Therefore, we should construe differently what it means for the table to be predictively powerful.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Seifert, Vanessa A.vs14902@bristol.ac.uk0000-0002-5391-0791
Additional Information: Preprint of chapter In The Perils and Promises of Prediction: Historical and Epistemological Perspectives, ed. By Theodore Arabatzis, Stathis Arapostathis, Iraklis Katsaloulis and Aristotle Tympas, Boston Studies in the Philosophy and History of Science. Cham: Springer Nature (In press)
Keywords: Chemical elements; Prediction; Periodic Table; Scientific Discovery
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Chemistry
General Issues > History of Science Case Studies
Depositing User: Dr. Vanessa A. Seifert
Date Deposited: 22 Aug 2025 13:44
Last Modified: 22 Aug 2025 13:44
Item ID: 26288
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Chemistry
General Issues > History of Science Case Studies
Date: 2025
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/26288

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