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Historical Necessity

Northcott, Robert (2026) Historical Necessity. [Preprint]

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Abstract

“World War One was inevitable.” What sense can we make of such claims? I use recent work in philosophy of science to define historical necessity in terms of causal sensitivity. This implies that it must be understood in a relativized way, and that it is a property of historical explanations rather than of history itself. I then explore how historical necessity relates to chance and determinism, how it relates to predictability, and how the concept can be used by historians, social scientists, and others.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Northcott, Robertr.northcott@bbk.ac.uk
Keywords: Necessity, contingency, explanation, objective, chance, determinism, predictability
Subjects: General Issues > Determinism/Indeterminism
General Issues > Explanation
Specific Sciences > Historical Sciences
Depositing User: Professor Robert Northcott
Date Deposited: 21 Feb 2026 20:25
Last Modified: 21 Feb 2026 20:25
Item ID: 28298
Subjects: General Issues > Determinism/Indeterminism
General Issues > Explanation
Specific Sciences > Historical Sciences
Date: 1 January 2026
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/28298

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