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Can Self-Locating Uncertainty Exist in a Branching Universe?

Gao, Shan (2026) Can Self-Locating Uncertainty Exist in a Branching Universe? [Preprint]

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Abstract

The Everett interpretation of quantum mechanics faces a well‑known challenge: how can probabilities emerge in a deterministic theory where all measurement outcomes occur? A prominent response appeals to self‑locating uncertainty (SLU): after branching, copies of an observer are uncertain about which branch they inhabit during the post-measurement, pre-observation period, and this uncertainty is then quantified to yield the Born rule. This paper examines whether the notion of SLU can be coherently instantiated in the Everettian framework. It argues that the two conditions required for SLU—having a branch‑relative identity (Recording Condition) and being uncertain about that identity (Uncertainty Condition)—are difficult to satisfy simultaneously in any physical system. Any attempt to realize SLU appears to force a decomposition of the observer into a memory module that records the outcome (and thus has branch‑relative identity) and a decision module that is uncertain (and thus lacks branch‑relative identity). Neither module individually possesses SLU, and it is not obvious that they can be combined into a unified epistemic agent that does. The analysis complements and deepens existing critiques and suggests that SLU‑based derivations of the Born rule may rest on a problematic foundation.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Gao, Shansgao7319@uni.sydney.edu.au
Keywords: quantum mechanics; Everett interpretation; Many-Worlds Interpretation; probability problem; self‑locating uncertainty; Born rule
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Specific Sciences > Physics > Quantum Mechanics
Depositing User: Prof. Shan Gao
Date Deposited: 12 Apr 2026 12:31
Last Modified: 12 Apr 2026 12:31
Item ID: 29034
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Specific Sciences > Physics > Quantum Mechanics
Date: 12 April 2026
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/29034

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