Franceschi, Paul (2008) An Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. [Preprint]

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Abstract

I describe in this paper an ontological solution to the Sleeping Beauty problem. I begin with describing the Entanglement urn experiment. I restate first the Sleeping Beauty problem from a wider perspective than the usual opposition between halfers and thirders. I also argue that the Sleeping Beauty experiment is best modelled with the Entanglement urn. I draw then the consequences of considering that some balls in the Entanglement urn have ontologically different properties form normal ones. The upshot is that I endorse the halfer conclusion on the probability of Heads once beauty is awaken and the thirder conclusion on conditional probabilities, and that original conclusions ensue on the probability of waking on Monday.

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Item Type:	Preprint
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID Franceschi, Paul
Keywords:	Sleeping Beauty problem, urn analogy, entanglement
Subjects:	Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User:	Paul Franceschi
Date Deposited:	18 Nov 2008
Last Modified:	07 Oct 2010 15:17
Item ID:	4341
Subjects:	Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date:	November 2008
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/4341

Available Versions of this Item

• Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 22 Aug 2003)
  • Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. (deposited 20 Jan 2004)
    • Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. (deposited 22 Jan 2005)
      • Sleeping Beauty and the Problem of World Reduction. (deposited 20 Dec 2005)
        • An Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 18 Nov 2008) [Currently Displayed]
          • A Two-Sided Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 11 Dec 2008)
            • A Two-Sided Ontological Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 29 Oct 2010 15:48)

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