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Propensities, Probabilities, and Experimental Statistics

Suárez, Mauricio (2016) Propensities, Probabilities, and Experimental Statistics. In: UNSPECIFIED.

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Abstract

I defend a three-fold form of pluralism about chance, involving a tripartite distinction between propensities, probabilities, and frequencies. The argument has a negative and a positive part. Negatively, I argue against the identity thesis that informs current propensity theories, which already suggests the need for a tripartite distinction. Positively, I argue that that a tripartite distinction is implicit in much statistical practice. Finally, I apply a well-known framework in the modelling literature in order to characterize these three separate concepts functionally in terms of their roles in modelling practice.


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Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (UNSPECIFIED)
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Suárez, Mauriciomsuarez@filos.ucm.es
Additional Information: Forthcoming in M. Massimi and J-W. Romeijn (eds.), EPSA15 Proceedings, Dordrecht: Springer
Keywords: Philosophy of Probability; Modeling and Representation; History of Philosophy of Science; Frequencies and propensities
Subjects: General Issues > History of Philosophy of Science
General Issues > Models and Idealization
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User: Mauricio Suárez
Date Deposited: 18 Aug 2016 20:27
Last Modified: 18 Aug 2016 20:27
Item ID: 12373
Subjects: General Issues > History of Philosophy of Science
General Issues > Models and Idealization
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date: 2016
URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/12373

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