PhilSci Archive

Don't look now

Ahmed, Arif and Salow, Bernhard (2017) Don't look now. [Preprint]

[img]
Preview
Text
DLN preprint.pdf

Download (384kB) | Preview

Abstract

Good’s Theorem is the apparent platitude that it is always rational to ‘look before you leap’: to gather (reliable) information before making a decision when doing so is free. We argue that Good’s Theorem is not platitudinous and may be false. And we argue that the correct advice is rather to ‘make your act depend on the answer to a question’. Looking before you leap is rational when, but only when, it is a way to do this.


Export/Citation: EndNote | BibTeX | Dublin Core | ASCII/Text Citation (Chicago) | HTML Citation | OpenURL
Social Networking:
Share |

Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Ahmed, Arifama24@cam.ac.uk0000-0001-7826-3335
Salow, Bernhardbs416@cam.ac.uk
Keywords: Good's Theorem, Decision theory
Subjects: General Issues > Decision Theory
Depositing User: Arif Ahmed
Date Deposited: 07 Mar 2018 15:19
Last Modified: 07 Mar 2018 15:19
Item ID: 14439
Official URL: https://academic.oup.com/bjps/advance-article/doi/...
DOI or Unique Handle: doi/10.1093/bjps/axx047/4098120
Subjects: General Issues > Decision Theory
Date: 17 August 2017
URI: http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/14439

Monthly Views for the past 3 years

Monthly Downloads for the past 3 years

Plum Analytics

Altmetric.com

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item