PhilSci Archive

Bayesian Recalibration: A Generalization

Roush, Sherrilyn (2017) Bayesian Recalibration: A Generalization. [Preprint]

[img]
Preview
Text
Jeffrey Recalibration.pdf

Download (169kB) | Preview

Abstract

Roush (2009) derived a probabilistic framework for updating one’s first-order degree of belief in q in light of evidence about one’s own reliability in making q-like claims, thus providing the probabilistic rationality constraint for resolving epistemic self-doubt. In this note the argument is generalized to the case where the evidence about one’s reliability or one’s degree of belief in q is uncertain, by development of a Jeffrey-style version of the Re-Calibration equation. This allows illustrative applications of the framework to examples where higher-order evidence is of varying qualities. The equation is applied here to the familiar examples of hypoxia and peer disagreement.


Export/Citation: EndNote | BibTeX | Dublin Core | ASCII/Text Citation (Chicago) | HTML Citation | OpenURL
Social Networking:
Share |

Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Roush, Sherrilynsherri.roush@gmail.com
Keywords: Bayesian, rationality, recalibration, higher-order evidence, self-doubt
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
General Issues > Evidence
Depositing User: Sherrilyn Roush
Date Deposited: 24 Jun 2020 01:43
Last Modified: 24 Jun 2020 01:43
Item ID: 17362
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
General Issues > Evidence
Date: 2017
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/17362

Monthly Views for the past 3 years

Monthly Downloads for the past 3 years

Plum Analytics

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item