Roush, Sherrilyn (2017) Bayesian Recalibration: A Generalization. [Preprint]

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Abstract

Roush (2009) derived a probabilistic framework for updating one’s first-order degree of belief in q in light of evidence about one’s own reliability in making q-like claims, thus providing the probabilistic rationality constraint for resolving epistemic self-doubt. In this note the argument is generalized to the case where the evidence about one’s reliability or one’s degree of belief in q is uncertain, by development of a Jeffrey-style version of the Re-Calibration equation. This allows illustrative applications of the framework to examples where higher-order evidence is of varying qualities. The equation is applied here to the familiar examples of hypoxia and peer disagreement.

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Item Type:	Preprint
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID Roush, Sherrilyn sherri.roush@gmail.com
Keywords:	Bayesian, rationality, recalibration, higher-order evidence, self-doubt
Subjects:	General Issues > Confirmation/Induction General Issues > Evidence
Depositing User:	Sherrilyn Roush
Date Deposited:	24 Jun 2020 01:43
Last Modified:	24 Jun 2020 01:43
Item ID:	17362
Subjects:	General Issues > Confirmation/Induction General Issues > Evidence
Date:	2017
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/17362

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