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Strictly Proper Scoring Rules

Landes, Juergen (2014) Strictly Proper Scoring Rules. In: UNSPECIFIED.

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Epistemic scoring rules are the en vogue tool for justifications of the probability norm and further norms of rational belief formation. They are different in kind and application from statistical scoring rules from which they arose. In the first part of the paper I argue that statistical scoring rules, properly understood, are in principle better suited to justify the probability norm than their epistemic brethren. Furthermore, I give a justification of the probability norm applying statistical scoring rules. In the second part of the paper I give a variety of justifications of norms for rational belief formation employing statistical scoring rules. Furthermore, general properties of statistical scoring rules are investigated. Epistemic scoring rules feature as a useful technical tool for constructing statistical scoring rules.

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Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (UNSPECIFIED)
Keywords: Scoring rules, probability norm, strict propriety, entropy, principle of indifference, rational belief formation
Subjects: General Issues > Decision Theory
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User: Dr. Juergen Landes
Date Deposited: 29 May 2014 14:08
Last Modified: 29 May 2014 14:08
Item ID: 10696
Subjects: General Issues > Decision Theory
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date: 2014

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