List, Christian and Pivato, Marcus (2015) Emergent Chance. Philosophical Review, 124 (1). pp. 119-152.
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Abstract
We offer a new argument for the claim that there can be non-degenerate objective chance in a deterministic world. Using a formal model of the relationship between different levels of description of a system, we show how objective chance at a higher level can coexist with its absence at a lower level. Unlike previous arguments for the level-specificity of chance, our argument shows, in a precise sense, that higher-level chance does not collapse into epistemic probability, despite higher-level properties supervening on lower-level ones. We show that the distinction between objective chance and epistemic probability can be drawn, and operationalized, at every level of description. There is, therefore, not a single distinction between objective and epistemic probability, but a family of such distinctions.
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| Item Type: | Published Article or Volume | |||||||||
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| Keywords: | Objective chance, epistemic probability, determinism, indeterminism, emergence, levels of description, non-reductive physicalism | |||||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Determinism/Indeterminism Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics General Issues > Reductionism/Holism Specific Sciences > Physics > Statistical Mechanics/Thermodynamics |
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| Depositing User: | Christian List | |||||||||
| Date Deposited: | 26 Feb 2015 18:24 | |||||||||
| Last Modified: | 26 Feb 2015 18:24 | |||||||||
| Item ID: | 11342 | |||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Philosophical Review | |||||||||
| Official URL: | http://philreview.dukejournals.org/content/124/1/1... | |||||||||
| DOI or Unique Handle: | 10.1215/00318108-2812670 | |||||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Determinism/Indeterminism Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics General Issues > Reductionism/Holism Specific Sciences > Physics > Statistical Mechanics/Thermodynamics |
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| Date: | January 2015 | |||||||||
| Page Range: | pp. 119-152 | |||||||||
| Volume: | 124 | |||||||||
| Number: | 1 | |||||||||
| URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/11342 |
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