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Anchoring as a Structural Bias of Deliberation

Rafiee Rad, Soroush and Braun, Sebastian Till and Roy, Olivier (2024) Anchoring as a Structural Bias of Deliberation. [Preprint]

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Abstract

We study the anchoring effect in a computational model of group deliberation on preference rankings. Anchoring is a form of path-dependence through which the opinions of those who speak early have a stronger influence on the outcome of deliberation than the opinions of those who speak later. We show that anchoring can occur even among fully rational agents. We then compare the respective effects of anchoring and three other determinants of the deliberative outcome: the relative weight or social influence of the speakers, the popularity of a given speaker's opinion, and the homogeneity of the group. We find that, on average, anchoring has the strongest effect among these. We finally show that anchoring is often correlated with increases in proximity to single-plateauedness. We conclude that anchoring can constitute a structural bias that might hinder some of the otherwise positive effects of group deliberation.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Rafiee Rad, Soroushsoroush.r.rad@gmail.com
Braun, Sebastian Tillsebastian.braun@uni-bayreuth.de
Roy, Olivierolivier.roy@uni-bayreuth.de
Additional Information: The code for the simulation and the replication data is available at: https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/AQRYIL
Subjects: General Issues > Computer Simulation
General Issues > Decision Theory
General Issues > Models and Idealization
General Issues > Social Epistemology of Science
Depositing User: Olivier Roy
Date Deposited: 01 Jun 2024 03:04
Last Modified: 01 Jun 2024 03:04
Item ID: 23503
Subjects: General Issues > Computer Simulation
General Issues > Decision Theory
General Issues > Models and Idealization
General Issues > Social Epistemology of Science
Date: May 2024
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/23503

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