Ruyant, Quentin and Suárez, Mauricio (2025) Probabilistic Empiricism. European Journal for Philosophy of Science. ISSN 1879-4912
![[img]](https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/style/images/fileicons/text.png) |
Text
probabilisticMEFinalDraft.pdf Download (181kB) |
Abstract
Modal Empiricism in philosophy of science proposes to understand the possibility of modal knowledge from experience by replacing talk of possible worlds with talk of possible situations, which are coarse-grained, bounded and relative to background conditions. This allows for an induction towards objective necessity, assuming that actual situations are representative of possible ones. The main limitation of this epistemology is that it does not account for probabilistic knowledge. In this paper, we propose to extend Modal Empiricism to the probabilistic case, thus providing an inductivist epistemology for probabilistic knowledge. The key idea is that extreme probabilities, close to 1 and 0, serve as proxies for testing mild probabilities, using a principle of model combination.
| Export/Citation: | EndNote | BibTeX | Dublin Core | ASCII/Text Citation (Chicago) | HTML Citation | OpenURL |
| Social Networking: |
| Item Type: | Published Article or Volume | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creators: |
|
|||||||||
| Keywords: | Empiricism Probabilities Modal epistemology Situations Modal empiricism Confirmation theory Empirical adequacy | |||||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Confirmation/Induction General Issues > Models and Idealization Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
|||||||||
| Depositing User: | Mr. Quentin Ruyant | |||||||||
| Date Deposited: | 21 Mar 2025 13:12 | |||||||||
| Last Modified: | 21 Mar 2025 13:12 | |||||||||
| Item ID: | 24924 | |||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | European Journal for Philosophy of Science | |||||||||
| Publisher: | Springer | |||||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Confirmation/Induction General Issues > Models and Idealization Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
|||||||||
| Date: | 2025 | |||||||||
| ISSN: | 1879-4912 | |||||||||
| URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/24924 |
Monthly Views for the past 3 years
Monthly Downloads for the past 3 years
Plum Analytics
Actions (login required)
 |
View Item |
![[feed]](http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/style/images/feed-icon-32x32.png){kind=icon}