Delabre, Laurent (2008) Sleeping Beauty: Debate on a Paradox. [Preprint]
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Abstract
I restate the Sleeping Beauty probabilistic paradox and offer an overview of the ongoing discussions that aim at resolving the problem. I summarize and eventually criticize briefly the various views: neutral position, Bayesian thirdism, non-Bayesian thirdism, traditional halfism, as well as the new halfism of credence conservation, a somewhat neglected but interesting point of view. I try at the same time to clarify some essential notions, to introduce the main actors of the debate, and to anticipate its evolution.
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Item Type: | Preprint | ||||||
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Keywords: | sleeping beauty, probability, bayesianism, frequentism, subjectivism, objectivism, self-locating, centered world, observation selection effects, reflection, paradox, thought experiments | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Decision Theory General Issues > Confirmation/Induction Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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Depositing User: | Laurent Delabre | ||||||
Date Deposited: | 18 Dec 2008 | ||||||
Last Modified: | 07 Oct 2010 15:17 | ||||||
Item ID: | 4342 | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Decision Theory General Issues > Confirmation/Induction Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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Date: | December 2008 | ||||||
URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/4342 |
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