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Confirmation by Explanation: A Bayesian Justification of IBE

Tesic, Marko and Eva, Benjamin and Hartmann, Stephan (2017) Confirmation by Explanation: A Bayesian Justification of IBE. [Preprint]

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Abstract

We provide a novel Bayesian justification of inference to the best explanation (IBE). More specifically, we present conditions under which explanatory considerations can provide a significant confirmatory boost for hypotheses that provide the best explanation of the relevant evidence. Furthermore, we show that the proposed Bayesian model of IBE is able to deal naturally with the best known criticisms of IBE such as van Fraassen’s ‘bad lot’ argument.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Tesic, Markomarko.tesic375@gmail.com
Eva, Benjaminbenedgareva@icloud.com
Hartmann, Stephans.hartmann@lmu.de0000-0001-8676-2177
Keywords: Inference to the best explanation, Bayesianism, Confirmation, The bad lot objection
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
General Issues > Explanation
Depositing User: Marko Tesic
Date Deposited: 15 Aug 2017 15:02
Last Modified: 12 Jul 2024 17:24
Item ID: 13328
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
General Issues > Explanation
Date: 2017
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/13328

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