Dardashti, Radin and Hartmann, Stephan and Thebault, Karim P Y and Winsberg, Eric (2015) Hawking Radiation and Analogue Experiments: A Bayesian Analysis. [Preprint]

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Abstract

We present a Bayesian analysis of the epistemology of analogue experiments with particular reference to Hawking radiation. First, we prove that such experiments can be confirmatory in Bayesian terms based upon appeal to `universality arguments'. Second, we provide a formal model for the scaling behaviour of the confirmation measure for multiple distinct realisations of the analogue system and isolate a generic saturation feature. Finally, we demonstrate that different potential analogue realisations could provide different levels of confirmation. Our results provide a basis both to formalise the epistemic value of analogue experiments that have been conducted and to advise scientists as to the respective epistemic value of future analogue experiments.

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Item Type:	Preprint
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID Dardashti, Radin dardashti@uni-wuppertal.de Hartmann, Stephan s.hartmann@lmu.de 0000-0001-8676-2177 Thebault, Karim P Y karim.thebault@gmail.com Winsberg, Eric eric.winsberg@gmail.com
Keywords:	Simulation, Analogue Reasoning, Models, Confirmation, Black Holes, Hawking Radiation
Subjects:	General Issues > Confirmation/Induction Specific Sciences > Physics > Cosmology General Issues > Experimentation General Issues > Models and Idealization Specific Sciences > Physics > Quantum Field Theory Specific Sciences > Physics > Relativity Theory
Depositing User:	Dr. Radin Dardashti
Date Deposited:	12 Jun 2019 14:28
Last Modified:	12 Jul 2024 17:25
Item ID:	16111
Subjects:	General Issues > Confirmation/Induction Specific Sciences > Physics > Cosmology General Issues > Experimentation General Issues > Models and Idealization Specific Sciences > Physics > Quantum Field Theory Specific Sciences > Physics > Relativity Theory
Date:	27 December 2015
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/16111

Available Versions of this Item

• Confirmation via Analogue Simulation: A Bayesian Analysis. (deposited 28 Dec 2015 14:25)
  • Confirmation via Analogue Simulation: A Bayesian Analysis. (deposited 25 Jun 2016 13:56)
    • Hawking Radiation and Analogue Experiments: A Bayesian Analysis. (deposited 21 Dec 2017 17:58)
      • Hawking Radiation and Analogue Experiments: A Bayesian Analysis. (deposited 26 Jun 2018 15:19)
        • Hawking Radiation and Analogue Experiments: A Bayesian Analysis. (deposited 22 Jan 2019 14:46)
          • Hawking Radiation and Analogue Experiments: A Bayesian Analysis. (deposited 12 Jun 2019 14:28) [Currently Displayed]

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