Suárez, Mauricio (2016) The Chances of Propensities. [Preprint]
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Abstract
This paper argues that if propensities are displayed in objective physical chances then the appropriate representation of these chances is as indexed probability functions. Two alternative formal models, or accounts, for the relation between propensity properties and their chancy or probabilistic manifestations, in terms of conditionals and conditional probability are first reviewed. It is argued that both confront important objections, which are overcome by the account in terms of indexed probabilities. A number of further advantages of the indexed probability account are discussed, which suggest that it is promising as a general theory of objective physical chance. The paper ends with a discussion of the indexical character of the objective chances that are grounded in propensities.
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Item Type: | Preprint | ||||||
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Additional Information: | Published in the British Journal for Philosophy of Science, 2017 | ||||||
Keywords: | Philosophy of Probability, Metaphysics of Chance, Propensities, Frequencies, Humphreys' Paradox | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Scientific Metaphysics Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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Depositing User: | Prof Mauricio Suárez | ||||||
Date Deposited: | 02 Dec 2021 05:31 | ||||||
Last Modified: | 02 Dec 2021 05:31 | ||||||
Item ID: | 19956 | ||||||
Official URL: | http://bjps.oxfordjournals.org | ||||||
DOI or Unique Handle: | 10.1093/bjps/axx010 | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Scientific Metaphysics Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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Date: | 2016 | ||||||
URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/19956 |
Available Versions of this Item
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The Chances of Propensities. (deposited 18 Aug 2016 20:23)
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The Chances of Propensities. (deposited 04 Aug 2017 15:14)
- The Chances of Propensities. (deposited 02 Dec 2021 05:31) [Currently Displayed]
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The Chances of Propensities. (deposited 04 Aug 2017 15:14)
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