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Metatechnological mapping and the Ye Wenjie effect: Mitigating civilizational vulnerabilities

Cirkovic, Milan M. (2024) Metatechnological mapping and the Ye Wenjie effect: Mitigating civilizational vulnerabilities. [Preprint]

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Abstract

In a widely cited study in this Journal, Nick Bostrom has posed the Vulnerable World Hypothesis: technological development, if occuring under conditions similar to those in the present, will make the devastation of civilization likely. In light of such drastic consequences, the hypothesis is worth seriously discussing in both bredth and depth. Two related proposals are hereby made and justified: creating a metatechnological map (or “tech tree”) capable of telling in advance where exactly the dangerous technologies are, and reducing the size of the apocalyptic residual by antitotalitarian deradicalization and deprogramming. Both are modest proposals in the sense that they imply neither deep restructuring of human nature nor building instruments for potential totalitarian violations of civil rights and liberties.


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Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Cirkovic, Milan M.mcirkovic@aob.rs0000-0002-6634-1321
Additional Information: Global Policy, in press
Keywords: risk analysis, futures studies, technology forecasting, totalitarianism, philosophy of risk
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Complex Systems
Specific Sciences > Cultural Evolution
Specific Sciences > Engineering
General Issues > Ethical Issues
General Issues > Technology
Depositing User: Milan Cirkovic
Date Deposited: 14 Nov 2024 13:38
Last Modified: 14 Nov 2024 13:38
Item ID: 24217
DOI or Unique Handle: 10.1111/1758-5899.13469
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Complex Systems
Specific Sciences > Cultural Evolution
Specific Sciences > Engineering
General Issues > Ethical Issues
General Issues > Technology
Date: November 2024
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/24217

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