Burock, Marc (2025) The Anthropocentric Bias of Anthropic Reasoning: A Case of Implicit Dualism. [Preprint]
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Abstract
Methodological anthropic reasoning (MAR), popularized by Bostrom ([2002]), aims to correct for observation selection bias by appealing to observer-relative information. I show that MAR's inferential structure is not uniquely tied to observers but applies to any set of entities subject to selection uncertainty. By miscasting a general epistemic problem as uniquely anthropic, MAR obscures its metaphysical assumptions and bypasses established probabilistic methods. Once stripped of its observer-centric framing and functionally reduced, anthropic reasoning collapses into ad hoc inference—forcing a choice: either acknowledge the metaphysical specialness of observers or concede there is no reason to privilege one physical pattern over another.
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| Item Type: | Preprint | ||||||
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| Keywords: | Anthropic Bias, Anthropic Reasoning, Self-Location, Probability Puzzles, Anthropic Principle, Length-Bias Sampling | ||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Evidence Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics General Issues > Thought Experiments |
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| Depositing User: | Marc Burock | ||||||
| Date Deposited: | 12 Jun 2025 12:41 | ||||||
| Last Modified: | 12 Jun 2025 12:41 | ||||||
| Item ID: | 25655 | ||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Evidence Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics General Issues > Thought Experiments |
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| Date: | 9 June 2025 | ||||||
| URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/25655 |
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The Anthropocentric Bias of Anthropic Reasoning: A Case of Implicit Dualism. (deposited 10 Jun 2025 19:16)
- The Anthropocentric Bias of Anthropic Reasoning: A Case of Implicit Dualism. (deposited 12 Jun 2025 12:41) [Currently Displayed]
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