Norton, John D. (2017) How to Build an Infinite Lottery Machine. [Preprint]
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Abstract
An infinite lottery machine is used as a foil for testing the reach of inductive inference, since inferences concerning it require novel extensions of probability. Its use is defensible if there is some sense in which the lottery is physically possible, even if exotic physics is needed. I argue that exotic physics is needed and describe several proposals that fail and at least one that succeeds well enough.
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| Item Type: | Preprint | ||||||
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| Additional Information: | A correction, co-authored with Alexander R. Pruss, has been added in a separate file. | ||||||
| Keywords: | chance nonmeasurable probability random super task | ||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Confirmation/Induction Specific Sciences > Physics Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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| Depositing User: | John Norton | ||||||
| Date Deposited: | 02 Feb 2018 19:14 | ||||||
| Last Modified: | 02 Feb 2018 19:14 | ||||||
| Item ID: | 14347 | ||||||
| Subjects: | General Issues > Confirmation/Induction Specific Sciences > Physics Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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| Date: | 2017 | ||||||
| URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/14347 |
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How to Built an Infinite Lottery Machine. (deposited 13 Mar 2017 13:38)
- How to Build an Infinite Lottery Machine. (deposited 02 Feb 2018 19:14) [Currently Displayed]
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