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That Does Not Compute: David Lewis on Credence and Chance

Belot, Gordon (2023) That Does Not Compute: David Lewis on Credence and Chance. In: UNSPECIFIED.

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Abstract

Like Lewis, many philosophers hold reductionist accounts of chance (on which claims about chance are to be understood as claims that certain patterns of events are instantiated) and maintain that rationality requires that credence should defer to chance (in the sense that under certain circumstances one's credence in an event must coincide with the chance of that event). It is a shortcoming of an account of chance if it implies that this norm of rationality is unsatisfiable by computable agents. This shortcoming is more common than one might have hoped.


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Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (UNSPECIFIED)
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Belot, Gordon
Additional Information: Forthcoming in Philosophy of Science
Keywords: Credence; Chance; Bayesian; David Lewis
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
General Issues > Formal Learning Theory
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User: Gordon Belot
Date Deposited: 14 Jun 2023 17:08
Last Modified: 14 Jun 2023 17:08
Item ID: 22212
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
General Issues > Formal Learning Theory
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date: 9 January 2023
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/22212

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