Kim, Minseong (2014) The Halfers are right, but many were anyway wrong: Sleeping Beauty Problem. [Preprint]

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Abstract

In this paper, I will examine the representative halfer and thirder solutions to the Sleeping Beauty Problem. Two solutions give different answers for the probability of today being Monday that the sleeping beauty should rationally assign. Then by examining the definition of events, it is concluded that the representative thirder solution is wrong and the halfers are right, but that the representative halfer solution also contains wrong logical arguments.

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Item Type:	Preprint
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID Kim, Minseong twinightkim@gmail.com
Keywords:	sleeping beauty problem, probability theory, Bayes' rule, Kolmogorov axioms
Subjects:	General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User:	Mr. Bryce Kim
Date Deposited:	01 Dec 2014 15:57
Last Modified:	03 Dec 2014 14:35
Item ID:	11176
Subjects:	General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date:	30 November 2014
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/11176

Available Versions of this Item

• The Halfers are right, but many were anyway wrong: Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 01 Dec 2014 15:57) [Currently Displayed]
  • The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. (deposited 03 Dec 2014 14:35)
    • The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. (deposited 08 Dec 2014 01:59)
      • The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. (deposited 01 Jan 2017 15:30)

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