Kim, Minseong (2014) The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. [Preprint]

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Abstract

In this paper, I will examine the representative halfer and thirder solutions to the Sleeping Beauty problem. Then by properly applying the event concept in probability theory and examining similarity of the Sleeping Beauty problem to the Monty Hall problem, it is concluded that the representative thirder solution is wrong and the halfers are right, but that the representative halfer solution also contains a wrong logical conclusion.

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Item Type:	Preprint
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID Kim, Minseong twinightkim@gmail.com
Keywords:	sleeping beauty problem, probability theory, Bayes' rule, Kolmogorov axioms, Monty Hall problem, Gambler's fallacy
Subjects:	General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User:	Mr. Bryce Kim
Date Deposited:	03 Dec 2014 14:35
Last Modified:	08 Dec 2014 01:59
Item ID:	11181
Subjects:	General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date:	30 November 2014
URI:	https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/11181

Available Versions of this Item

• The Halfers are right, but many were anyway wrong: Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 01 Dec 2014 15:57)
  • The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. (deposited 03 Dec 2014 14:35) [Currently Displayed]
    • The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. (deposited 08 Dec 2014 01:59)
      • The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. (deposited 01 Jan 2017 15:30)

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