Kim, Bryce (2014) The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. [Preprint]
This is the latest version of this item.
|
PDF (Main paper)
sleeping-beauty-revision3.pdf - Submitted Version Download (158kB) |
Abstract
In this paper, I will examine the representative halfer and thirder solutions to the Sleeping Beauty problem. Then by properly applying the event concept in probability theory and examining similarity of the Sleeping Beauty problem to the Monty Hall problem, it is concluded that the representative thirder solution is wrong and the halfers are right, but that the representative halfer solution also contains a wrong logical conclusion.
Export/Citation: | EndNote | BibTeX | Dublin Core | ASCII/Text Citation (Chicago) | HTML Citation | OpenURL |
Social Networking: |
Item Type: | Preprint | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Creators: |
|
||||||
Keywords: | sleeping beauty problem, probability theory, Bayes' rule, Kolmogorov axioms, Monty Hall problem, Gambler's fallacy | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
||||||
Depositing User: | Mr. Bryce Kim | ||||||
Date Deposited: | 01 Jan 2017 15:30 | ||||||
Last Modified: | 01 Jan 2017 15:30 | ||||||
Item ID: | 12728 | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
||||||
Date: | 4 December 2014 | ||||||
URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/12728 |
Available Versions of this Item
-
The Halfers are right, but many were anyway wrong: Sleeping Beauty Problem. (deposited 01 Dec 2014 15:57)
-
The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. (deposited 03 Dec 2014 14:35)
-
The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. (deposited 08 Dec 2014 01:59)
- The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. (deposited 01 Jan 2017 15:30) [Currently Displayed]
-
The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. (deposited 08 Dec 2014 01:59)
-
The Halfers are right in the end: Sleeping Beauty problem. (deposited 03 Dec 2014 14:35)
Monthly Views for the past 3 years
Monthly Downloads for the past 3 years
Plum Analytics
Actions (login required)
View Item |