McCutcheon, Randall G. (2018) The Best Laid Schemes of Mice and Me. [Preprint]
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Abstract
Adam Elga has argued that holders of imprecise credences fall prey to missed arbitrages, so that rational credences should be sharp. A decision rule proposed by Rohan Sud, Forward Looking, enables imprecise Bayesians to sidestep missed arbitrages and other ``bad books'' in isolated fixed-evidence binary betting sequences such as those of Elga. We show that Forward Looking imprecise Bayesians are committed to a bad book of bets when faced with a particular
3-bet variable-evidence binary betting sequence.
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Item Type: | Preprint | ||||||
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Keywords: | Imprecise Credences; Forward Looking; Arbitrage Argument | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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Depositing User: | Dr. Randall G. McCutcheon | ||||||
Date Deposited: | 12 Sep 2018 14:23 | ||||||
Last Modified: | 12 Sep 2018 14:23 | ||||||
Item ID: | 15028 | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Decision Theory Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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Date: | 12 September 2018 | ||||||
URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/15028 |
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