Dethier, Corey
(2024)
Stability in Climate Change Attribution.
In: UNSPECIFIED.
Abstract
Climate change attribution involves measuring the human contribution to warming. In principle, inaccuracies in the characterization of the climate's internal variability could undermine these measurements. Equally in principle, the success of the measurement practice could provide evidence that our assumptions about internal variability are correct. I argue that neither condition obtains: current measurement practices do not provide evidence for the accuracy of our assumptions precisely because they are not as sensitive to inaccuracy in the characterization of internal variability as might be worried. I end by drawing some lessons about "robustness reasoning" more generally.
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