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Nearly neutral theories may facilitate scientific progress

Dubova, Marina and Wagner, Andreas (2026) Nearly neutral theories may facilitate scientific progress. In: UNSPECIFIED.

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Abstract

Scientists often avoid theories that are not clearly superior to existing ones. We suggest instead that exploring a wide range of empirically indistinguishable (or even less empirically adequate) theories can support long-term scientific progress. This claim is inspired by an analogy with biological evolution, where many genetic changes are neutral, meaning they produce no observable differences in an organism’s phenotype and fitness. Such neutral variation arises because biological systems are robust to genetic change and it in turn enhances a population’s capacity for innovation. Similar to how genetic changes that produce no observable phenotypic differences and no change in organism’s fitness can be central to the ability of a biological population to evolve, theories that produce no noticeable improvement at a given time may increase the innovative potential of science and improve scientists’ preparedness for future evidence.


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Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (UNSPECIFIED)
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Dubova, Marinamarina.dubova.97@gmail.com0000-0001-5264-0489
Wagner, Andreasandreas.wagner@uzh.ch0000-0003-4299-3840
Keywords: explanatory pluralism, neutral variation, evolutionary epistemology
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Biology
Specific Sciences > Cognitive Science
General Issues > Explanation
General Issues > Social Epistemology of Science
General Issues > Theory Change
Depositing User: Marina Dubova
Date Deposited: 05 Jun 2026 19:09
Last Modified: 05 Jun 2026 19:09
Item ID: 29929
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Biology
Specific Sciences > Cognitive Science
General Issues > Explanation
General Issues > Social Epistemology of Science
General Issues > Theory Change
Date: 2026
URI: https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/29929

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