Sprenger, Jan (2007) Probability, Rational Single-Case Decisions and the Monty Hall Problem. [Preprint]
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Abstract
The application of probabilistic arguments to single cases and decision-making is a contentious philosophical problem arises in various contexts. This paper focuses on the validity of probabilistic arguments in the Monty Hall problem and a variation thereof. Two claims are made and defended. First, preferring a certain strategy to another in the Monty Hall Problem does not need any recourse to long-run success frequencies. Second, recent attempts to refute the standard solution of the Monty Hall Problem fail.
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Item Type: | Preprint | ||||||
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Keywords: | Probability, Rational Decision, Monty Hall Problem | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Decision Theory General Issues > Confirmation/Induction Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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Depositing User: | Jan Sprenger | ||||||
Date Deposited: | 13 Dec 2007 | ||||||
Last Modified: | 07 Oct 2010 15:15 | ||||||
Item ID: | 3727 | ||||||
Subjects: | General Issues > Decision Theory General Issues > Confirmation/Induction Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics |
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Date: | December 2007 | ||||||
URI: | https://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/id/eprint/3727 |
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